Asymptomatic Transmission

Are people who test "positive" but never get symptoms infectious?  If you have no symptoms of illness, can you be ill?

ASYMPTOMATIC persons are not the engine of transmission... they do not carry the viral load of a person who has symptoms.

Dr. Fauci himself has said, "Asymptomatic persons are never the driver of outbreaks."  43 seconds long

From W.H.O. on June 12, 2020, Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, Head of the World Health Organisation’s emerging diseases unit. 3 minutes long

Dr. Kerkhove says, ‘From the data we have, it still seems to be rare that an asymptomatic person actually transmits onward to a secondary individual. We have a number of reports from countries who are doing very detailed contact tracing. They’re following asymptomatic cases. They’re following contacts. And they’re not finding secondary transmission onward. It’s very rare.’  (Horrified at such honesty and plain-speaking, her bosses at W.H.O. forced her to "walk it back" the next day.  However, she actually doubled down, comparing "models" unfavorably to "studies.")

From The HighWire, a discussion of "asymptomatic transmission," and in a viral video, a woman who refuses to pretend that she is secretly carrying a deadly disease.  About 18 minutes long.

Dr. Bhakdi addresses Asymptomatic carriers...  "It is complete nonsense...It's never been shown.  It is a claim that has been spread as a fact... "There is not a single documented case... The whole business is a fake."  He is the co-author of the bestseller "Coronavirus: False Alarm?"

Mass testing for covid-19 in the UK, BMJ 2020

Mass testing and accompanying harmful lockdown policies are justified on the assumption that asymptomatic transmission is a genuine risk. Given the harmful collateral effects of such policies, precautionary principle should result in a very high evidential bar for asymptomatic transmission being set. However, the only word which can be used to describe the quality of evidence for this is WOEFUL.

It is important to carefully distinguish purely asymptomatic (individuals who never develop any symptoms) from pre-symptomatic transmission (where individuals do eventually develop symptoms). To the extent that the latter phenomenon - which has in fact happened only very rarely - is deemed worthy of public health action, appropriate strategies to manage it (in the absence of significant asymptomatic transmission) would be entirely different and much less disruptive than those actually adopted.

"A study on infectivity of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers"

In a paper out of China, it was seen as long ago as Winter 2019 that one woman who went to the hospital for an entirely unrelated medical issue was tested and found to be positive for SARS-CoV2.  

Because 455 people were found to have been in contact with her, all were tested, and followed.  None were shown to have contracted the virus, and none of the 455 contacts developed COVID symptoms.

"Post-lockdown SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid screening in nearly ten million residents of Wuhan, China"

A more recent study, published in Nature  called "Post-lockdown SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid screening in nearly ten million residents of Wuhan, China", identified 300 asymptomatic positive cases through a massive screening program of almost 10 million Chinese citizens post-lockdown in Wuhan, using PCR tests.  They were positive for the virus but had no symptoms. They and ALL their contacts were isolated for several weeks with daily tests. No one got sick.

Samples from all the asymptomatic positive cases were also cultured in the lab and “no viable virus” was found, meaning those "positive" people couldn't transmit the virus...

The scientists identified and followed over a thousand close contacts of the asymptomatic cases and found that none of the contacts tested positive for COVID-19.

They noted, “Compared with symptomatic patients, asymptomatic infected persons generally have low quantity of viral loads and a short duration of viral shedding, which decrease the transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2.”

Further reading:

Asymptomatic Spread Revisited

by Jeffrey A. Tucker,  November 22, 2020

"...Gradually, and sometimes almost imperceptibly, the rationale for the lockdowns changed. Curve flattening became an end in itself, apart from hospital capacity... 

"...Clearly there needed to be a good, solid, science-based reason for why the politicians and their advisers had, on their own, decided to take away much of what we once regarded as human rights...

"...Sometime in summer, the idea of asymptomatic spread started to trend, bit by bit. It finally went to an explosion of interest in the first week of June...

"...Asymptomatic spread was the answer given to the great question: I’m not sick so why should I have to be locked down? Why are we quarantining the healthy? And what possibly could it mean, in any case, to be sick without symptoms? Why are half the PCR-positive tests assigned to people who otherwise seem to be perfectly fine? "

 Full article

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